Scenario Planning Worksheet for Workforce Planning | Brian Heger

Workforce Planning
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Does your organization’s strategic workforce planning (SWP) consider different scenarios? While SWP for one scenario is challenging enough to execute, preparing for multiple scenarios through scenario planning (SP) can enable organizations to respond more effectively when situations change.

And although SP has varying levels of sophistication (often enabled by technology), simply discussing scenarios and responses can be a good start.

This worksheet can guide discussions that help answer:

  •  Base Scenario. What scenario will likely occur? (e.g., FDA approval of drug X). What are the key elements of the workforce plan for this scenario? (e.g., a 19% increase in sales reps in regions A, C, & F).
  •  Alternative Scenarios. What are two other possible scenarios?
  •  Triggers. What indicators (e.g., economic shifts, increased competition, etc.) would serve as a signal that the alternate scenario is more likely to occur?
  • Action. If an alternate scenario occurs, how will our workforce plan change? 

There is more to SP than outlined here. Start with this information and evolve as you go. Lastly, business scenarios should come from an organization’s strategic business planning process (and the business team responsible for this work) to ensure workforce plans are based on realistic scenarios.

Bonus: Harvard Business Review article, Use GenAI to Improve Scenario Planning