Using Business Triggers to Anticipate Talent and Workforce Shifts | Brian Heger

Workforce Planning
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I recently shared my cheat sheet with 12 examples of talent tactics that might underpin a talent strategy, ranging from talent redeployment and automation to upskilling, along with guidance on when each tactic works well or not and examples in practice. But once strategies are set, business conditions often shift throughout the year, requiring reassessment of whether talent strategies still align with the business. To support those discussions, I’m sharing a one-page PDF I developed. The first column provides examples of Business triggers (events, signals, or trends indicating a meaningful or imminent shift in the business environment), followed by Tripwires or Thresholds (the measurable point at which leaders agree action is required), and Talent implications (likely effects on workforce size, capability, structure, deployment, or priorities). For example, a surge in new business wins (business trigger) and a more than 20 percent quarterly increase in volume (tripwire/threshold) may prompt talent implications such as ramping up recruitment, expanding onboarding capacity, or fast-tracking internal mobility. The 9 examples on my cheat sheet are intended to spark initial thinking rather than serve as a prescriptive list; teams should focus on identifying triggers most relevant to their own context. The goal is to envision possible business scenarios and talent responses so teams can adjust confidently as conditions evolve. For members of my private community for internal HR practitioners, Talent Edge Circle, our resource library includes additional pages to this document to help you identify triggers for your organization, along with a worksheet to document your thinking.